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RES Regional Champions: Belgrade · BO3
result vs prediction
Looking for Orgloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 14 games
36%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 13 games
54%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 12 games
42%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 11 games
36%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
Mnz · 9 games
67%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Yadomi · 8 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Matthew · 8 games
50%

PARIVISION

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 2 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
DM · 2 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
9Class · 2 games
100%
Lich
Lich
Dukalis · 2 games
50%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 2 games
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Crystallis · 2 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 1 game
0%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
9Class · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
351 picks · 309 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
344 picks · 476 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
335 picks · 458 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
315 picks · 590 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 458 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
264 picks · 329 bans
57%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:26
Looking for Org 44%PARIVISION 56%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 36:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
Muertapayk
53% · 100 games39% · 80 games
MedusaCrystallis
Medusa
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDarkMago
48% · 122 games49% · 111 games
InvokerNo[o]ne
Invoker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetSacred
51% · 51 game50% · 75 games
EnigmaDM
Enigma
Tusk
TuskMatthew
49% · 190 games55% · 214 games
Dark Willow9Class
Dark Willow
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorYadomi
52% · 77 games57% · 60 games
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct4:28
Looking for Org 44%PARIVISION 56%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 21:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingpayk
49% · 255 games52% · 105 games
AlchemistCrystallis
Alchemist
Dark Seer
Dark SeerSacred
53% · 143 games49% · 134 games
Sand KingDM
Sand King
Invoker
InvokerDarkMago
49% · 170 games41% · 111 games
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
Void Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowMatthew
47% · 218 games47% · 279 games
Batrider9Class
Batrider
Elder Titan
Elder TitanYadomi
61% · 109 games52% · 266 games
ClockwerkDukalis
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 64%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2