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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 12 games
42%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Jabz · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 11 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Q · 11 games
36%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Q · 9 games
44%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Batrider
Batrider
Q · 8 games
38%

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
61%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 19 games
74%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Quinn · 19 games
63%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
tOfu · 16 games
56%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 309 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
344 picks · 473 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
335 picks · 458 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
315 picks · 587 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 458 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
52%
Luna
Luna
262 picks · 328 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total76% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:22
Aurora Gaming 35%Gaimin Gladiators 65%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 1:03:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerAbed
52% · 113 games50% · 98 games
Shadow FiendWatson
Shadow Fiend
Bristleback
BristlebackJabz
45% · 74 games44% · 56 games
BroodmotherQuinn
Broodmother
Alchemist
AlchemistTA2000
53% · 134 games57% · 80 games
SlardarAce
Slardar
Muerta
MuertaQ
51% · 96 games49% · 225 games
HoodwinktOfu
Hoodwink
Batrider
BatriderKaori
48% · 258 games49% · 216 games
ClockwerkSeleri
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct18:28
Aurora Gaming 34%Gaimin Gladiators 66%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTA2000
48% · 297 games57% · 187 games
LunaWatson
Luna
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAbed
46% · 138 games52% · 247 games
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Centaur Warrunner
Doom
DoomJabz
46% · 261 game57% · 120 games
Storm SpiritQuinn
Storm Spirit
Muerta
MuertaQ
41% · 161 game51% · 204 games
ClockwerkSeleri
Clockwerk
Lich
LichKaori
47% · 35 games55% · 134 games
GrimstroketOfu
Grimstroke
Game 3prediction missed27:9
Aurora Gaming 35%Gaimin Gladiators 65%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 29:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaTA2000
57% · 232 games49% · 307 games
MorphlingWatson
Morphling
Timbersaw
TimbersawJabz
51% · 184 games50% · 64 games
BroodmotherAce
Broodmother
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAbed
39% · 126 games50% · 175 games
InvokerQuinn
Invoker
Batrider
BatriderKaori
50% · 242 games50% · 252 games
ClockwerkSeleri
Clockwerk
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeQ
55% · 152 games48% · 138 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 76%
Series resultAurora Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3