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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 17 games
53%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 14 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 13 games
46%

Tundra Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 25 games
60%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Topson · 25 games
64%
Mars
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
75%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 19 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
9Class · 18 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 17 games
76%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Pure~ · 17 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
345 picks · 307 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
343 picks · 468 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
333 picks · 457 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
315 picks · 580 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 458 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
52%
Luna
Luna
261 picks · 327 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total57% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:19
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Tundra Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 23:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaPure~
56% · 175 games49% · 81 game
Shadow FiendNightfall
Shadow Fiend
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
49% · 122 games44% · 61 game
Broodmother33
Broodmother
Magnus
MagnusMieRo
51% · 69 games53% · 183 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
54% · 71 game43% · 121 game
MuertaSaksa
Muerta
Tusk
TuskKataomi
44% · 171 game55% · 162 games
Naga SirenWhitemon
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction correct10:22
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Tundra Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 32:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaPure~
35% · 86 games50% · 105 games
Shadow FiendNightfall
Shadow Fiend
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
57% · 169 games48% · 166 games
Ember SpiritLorenof
Ember Spirit
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
59% · 107 games56% · 116 games
Dark Seer33
Dark Seer
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
48% · 222 games49% · 129 games
MuertaSaksa
Muerta
Tusk
TuskKataomi
47% · 192 games51% · 260 games
ClockwerkWhitemon
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 57%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2