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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 26 games
58%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 26 games
81%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 23 games
65%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 21 game
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 18 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 16 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 16 games
63%

Yakult Brothers

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 12 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 9 games
44%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 8 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 7 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 6 games
67%
Luna
Lunasignature
flyfly · 6 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
BoBoKa · 6 games
50%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
344 picks · 304 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
343 picks · 463 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
332 picks · 452 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
320 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
314 picks · 575 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 457 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 366 bans
52%
Luna
Luna
260 picks · 326 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:8
Team Spirit 64%Yakult Brothers 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 29:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSatanic
50% · 72 games49% · 174 games
Morphlingflyfly
Morphling
Bristleback
BristlebackMalik
49% · 51 game41% · 28 games
HuskarEmo
Huskar
Sand King
Sand KingLarl
48% · 68 games43% · 26 games
Dawnbreakerzeal
Dawnbreaker
Snapfire
SnapfireMiposhka
46% · 115 games59% · 57 games
MuertaBoBoKa
Muerta
Lion
Lionrue
55% · 87 games51% · 108 games
Naga SirenPoloson
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction correct27:9
Team Spirit 64%Yakult Brothers 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 36:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaSatanic
56% · 180 games52% · 76 games
Muertaflyfly
Muerta
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMalik
48% · 28 games50% · 92 games
Sand Kingzeal
Sand King
Void Spirit
Void SpiritLarl
40% · 104 games53% · 137 games
InvokerEmo
Invoker
Elder Titan
Elder TitanMiposhka
53% · 89 games56% · 84 games
MagnusBoBoKa
Magnus
Snapfire
Snapfirerue
42% · 186 games48% · 198 games
ClockwerkPoloson
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 75%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2