?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
HULIGANIloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 26 games
58%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 26 games
81%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 22 games
68%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 22 games
64%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 18 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 18 games
61%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%

HULIGANI

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 18 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 17 games
71%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
v1olent- · 17 games
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 17 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 16 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 15 games
47%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 15 games
67%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 456 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 290 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 216 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
322 picks · 446 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
311 picks · 564 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
265 picks · 373 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
255 picks · 763 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 65%
Hero pool strength57% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:7
Team Spirit 52%HULIGANI 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 23:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSatanic
49% · 103 games52% · 192 games
Lunav1olent-
Luna
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMalik
54% · 224 games54% · 107 games
Sand KingMirage
Sand King
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritLarl
53% · 89 games45% · 54 games
BroodmotherAlberkaaa
Broodmother
Marci
MarciMiposhka
52% · 91 game50% · 119 games
GrimstrokeOneJey
Grimstroke
Dark Willow
Dark Willowrue
45% · 186 games46% · 221 game
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Game 2prediction missed26:37
Team Spirit 53%HULIGANI 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaSatanic
42% · 83 games52% · 234 games
Lunav1olent-
Luna
Bristleback
BristlebackMalik
53% · 74 games59% · 33 games
DazzleAlberkaaa
Dazzle
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritLarl
49% · 82 games55% · 128 games
Ember SpiritMirage
Ember Spirit
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkrue
52% · 264 games39% · 18 games
Bounty HunterOneJey
Bounty Hunter
Tusk
TuskMiposhka
47% · 163 games48% · 253 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2