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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Talon Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Ponyo · 16 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Ws · 13 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Kuku · 12 games
42%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 12 games
42%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Jhocam · 10 games
70%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 10 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Ponyo · 10 games
30%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 25 games
72%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 23 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 22 games
41%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 19 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 18 games
61%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 18 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 457 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
335 picks · 290 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 217 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
319 picks · 446 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
310 picks · 563 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
265 picks · 376 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
255 picks · 766 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:28
Talon Esports 32%Team Liquid 68%
The model gave 68% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 23:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendAkashi
55% · 142 games48% · 87 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMikoto
46% · 88 games52% · 142 games
TimbersawSabeRLight-
Timbersaw
Visage
VisageFbz
41% · 86 games54% · 68 games
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Tusk
TuskJhocam
49% · 256 games53% · 200 games
ClockwerkiNSaNiA
Clockwerk
Bristleback
BristlebackKuku
52% · 110 games48% · 185 games
BatriderBoxi
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct24:42
Talon Esports 33%Team Liquid 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 42:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperMikoto
55% · 79 games45% · 119 games
Nature's ProphetmiCKe
Nature's Prophet
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinAkashi
50% · 114 games51% · 122 games
InvokerNisha
Invoker
Mars
MarsFbz
47% · 133 games45% · 39 games
DawnbreakerSabeRLight-
Dawnbreaker
Dark Willow
Dark WillowJhocam
48% · 190 games52% · 94 games
MedusaBoxi
Medusa
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKuku
54% · 103 games52% · 245 games
ClockwerkiNSaNiA
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 82%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2