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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Talon Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
MOUZloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Ponyo · 16 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Ws · 13 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Kuku · 12 games
42%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 12 games
42%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 10 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Ponyo · 10 games
30%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Akashi · 10 games
50%

MOUZ

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
bengan · 38 games
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 30 games
57%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 29 games
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 29 games
52%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Force · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NARMAN · 27 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Force · 25 games
28%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
NARMAN · 23 games
52%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 464 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
332 picks · 285 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
325 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
314 picks · 440 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
309 picks · 563 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 385 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
258 picks · 774 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% MOUZ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:18
Talon Esports 51%MOUZ 49%
The model gave 51% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 47:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverAkashi
58% · 175 games53% · 87 games
BristlebackUlnit
Bristleback
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMikoto
56% · 154 games47% · 80 games
Death ProphetSupream^
Death Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFbz
46% · 317 games47% · 282 games
Primal BeastForce
Primal Beast
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKuku
54% · 150 games49% · 294 games
Shadow DemonNARMAN
Shadow Demon
Dark Willow
Dark WillowJhocam
47% · 232 games44% · 285 games
TuskImmersion
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct16:39
Talon Esports 47%MOUZ 53%
The model gave 53% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 51:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingAkashi
45% · 315 games52% · 193 games
GyrocopterUlnit
Gyrocopter
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMikoto
43% · 81 game55% · 132 games
Storm SpiritSupream^
Storm Spirit
Doom
DoomFbz
48% · 231 game56% · 85 games
EnigmaForce
Enigma
Muerta
MuertaJhocam
45% · 90 games49% · 238 games
Shadow DemonImmersion
Shadow Demon
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKuku
54% · 155 games53% · 224 games
ClockwerkNARMAN
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2