?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 50 games
70%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 29 games
72%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 29 games
72%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 26 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 25 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Skiter · 23 games
74%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 23 games
78%
Razor
Razoroften banned
ATF · 22 games
55%

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 21 game
62%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Quinn · 20 games
60%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 19 games
74%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 17 games
71%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
tOfu · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
336 picks · 462 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
327 picks · 284 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
313 picks · 436 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 561 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
283 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 385 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
258 picks · 772 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Team Falcons
Head-to-head6 – 3
Model total69% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:5
Team Falcons 62%Gaimin Gladiators 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 27:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSkiter
51% · 89 games42% · 122 games
TerrorbladeWatson
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
57% · 195 games46% · 372 games
PangolierQuinn
Pangolier
Doom
DoomATF
48% · 217 games48% · 92 games
VisageAce
Visage
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
53% · 276 games44% · 333 games
EnchantressSeleri
Enchantress
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSneyking
58% · 271 game51% · 129 games
MarcitOfu
Marci
Game 2prediction correct49:22
Team Falcons 61%Gaimin Gladiators 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 1:01:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSkiter
48% · 318 games55% · 302 games
LunaWatson
Luna
Doom
DoomATF
49% · 231 game48% · 105 games
Queen of PainQuinn
Queen of Pain
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMalr1ne
57% · 183 games53% · 349 games
Primal BeastAce
Primal Beast
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
48% · 293 games46% · 219 games
Dark WillowtOfu
Dark Willow
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
47% · 301 game49% · 351 game
ClockwerkSeleri
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 69%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2