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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Talon Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Talon Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Ponyo · 16 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Ws · 13 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Kuku · 12 games
42%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 11 games
45%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 10 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Ponyo · 10 games
30%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Akashi · 10 games
50%

Yakult Brothers

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 11 games
27%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 9 games
44%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 8 games
75%
Mirana
Mirana
BoBoKa · 6 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
BoBoKa · 6 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Emo · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 5 games
60%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 459 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
327 picks · 278 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
326 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
311 picks · 432 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 557 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 387 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
260 picks · 772 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Talon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:34
Talon Esports 72%Yakult Brothers 28%
The model gave 72% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 41:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackFbz
46% · 105 games44% · 93 games
Razorflyfly
Razor
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendAkashi
56% · 97 games48% · 160 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMikoto
55% · 90 games52% · 37 games
Dawnbreakerzeal
Dawnbreaker
Batrider
BatriderKuku
55% · 283 games45% · 188 games
EnchantressBoBoKa
Enchantress
Muerta
MuertaJhocam
49% · 105 games50% · 202 games
TuskPoloson
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed7:26
Talon Esports 73%Yakult Brothers 27%
The model gave 73% on Talon Esports — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 35:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistAkashi
54% · 136 games53% · 133 games
Lunaflyfly
Luna
Underlord
UnderlordFbz
57% · 64 games53% · 44 games
Visagezeal
Visage
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMikoto
50% · 126 games47% · 49 games
Earth SpiritEmo
Earth Spirit
Muerta
MuertaJhocam
45% · 93 games41% · 136 games
TuskPoloson
Tusk
Lich
LichKuku
55% · 22 games51% · 79 games
LionBoBoKa
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTalon Esports · 87%
Series resultYakult Brothers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2