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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 11 games
45%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Jabz · 11 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 8 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Oli · 8 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
23savage · 8 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Q · 8 games
50%

Team Spirit

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Larl · 26 games
58%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 25 games
80%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 21 game
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 20 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 18 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
82%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Mira · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 459 bans
49%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
327 picks · 278 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
326 picks · 229 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
311 picks · 432 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 557 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
284 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 387 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
260 picks · 772 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total52% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:11
Aurora Gaming 47%Team Spirit 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 42:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendTA2000
53% · 86 games48% · 202 games
MorphlingSatanic
Morphling
Invoker
InvokerAbed
54% · 154 games45% · 100 games
Void SpiritLarl
Void Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterJabz
53% · 166 games46% · 195 games
MarsMalik
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkQ
54% · 289 games49% · 62 games
BristlebackMiposhka
Bristleback
Omniknight
OmniknightKaori
58% · 75 games42% · 211 games
Snapfirerue
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct17:30
Aurora Gaming 48%Team Spirit 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 44:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerAbed
58% · 119 games52% · 99 games
Shadow FiendSatanic
Shadow Fiend
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidTA2000
62% · 131 game49% · 313 games
MarsMalik
Mars
Timbersaw
TimbersawJabz
46% · 149 games39% · 89 games
Earth SpiritLarl
Earth Spirit
Batrider
BatriderKaori
46% · 227 games47% · 189 games
Snapfirerue
Snapfire
Dark Willow
Dark WillowQ
51% · 155 games53% · 91 game
Elder TitanMiposhka
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 52%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2