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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 2:0
series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 49 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 29 games
72%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 29 games
72%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 26 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 24 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Skiter · 23 games
74%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Skiter · 23 games
78%
Razor
Razoroften banned
ATF · 22 games
55%

HULIGANI

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 17 games
71%
Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 16 games
44%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
re1bl · 16 games
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 16 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 15 games
47%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Panto · 14 games
57%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 14 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
339 picks · 457 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
325 picks · 231 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
324 picks · 277 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 430 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
306 picks · 556 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 459 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
268 picks · 387 bans
53%
Sand King
Sand King
258 picks · 772 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 66%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:11
Team Falcons 77%HULIGANI 23%
The model gave 77% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 56:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingSkiter
59% · 109 games49% · 227 games
Morphlingv1olent-
Morphling
Broodmother
BroodmotherATF
59% · 72 games41% · 193 games
PuckMirage
Puck
Enchantress
EnchantressSneyking
50% · 253 games53% · 89 games
Sand KingAlberkaaa
Sand King
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
44% · 73 games50% · 86 games
PugnaOneJey
Pugna
Batrider
BatriderCr1t-
49% · 286 games46% · 198 games
TuskPanto
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct26:22
Team Falcons 78%HULIGANI 22%
The model gave 78% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 42:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
43% · 85 games60% · 75 games
Shadow Fiendv1olent-
Shadow Fiend
Alchemist
AlchemistSkiter
51% · 143 games52% · 82 games
InvokerMirage
Invoker
Bristleback
BristlebackATF
57% · 69 games51% · 170 games
MarsAlberkaaa
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkCr1t-
51% · 300 games44% · 164 games
SnapfireOneJey
Snapfire
Chen
ChenSneyking
54% · 76 games43% · 182 games
ClockwerkPanto
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 92%
Series resultTeam Falcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2