BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 9 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 8 games
Mirana
BoBoKa · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
BoBoKa · 6 games
Clockwerk
Poloson · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
Medusaoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
MOUZ
Witch Doctor
bengan · 40 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 31 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 31 game
Primal Beastsignature
Force · 30 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 28 games
Tinyoften banned
NARMAN · 28 games
Pangolieroften banned
Force · 24 games
Dark Willow
NARMAN · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
341 picks · 455 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 233 bans
Clockwerk
322 picks · 275 bans
Tusk
310 picks · 426 bans
Enchantress
306 picks · 553 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 461 bans
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
Jakiro
257 picks · 224 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:15
Yakult Brothers 48%MOUZ 52%
The model gave 52% on MOUZ — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 44:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphlingflyfly
Shadow FiendUlnit
Broodmotherzeal
PangolierSupream^
Storm SpiritEmo
BeastmasterForce
MuertaBoBoKa
Dark WillowNARMAN
Treant ProtectorPoloson
OmniknightImmersion
Game 2prediction correct12:30
Yakult Brothers 47%MOUZ 53%
The model gave 53% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 30:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassinflyfly
Shadow FiendUlnit
Broodmotherzeal
InvokerSupream^
Void SpiritEmo
Centaur WarrunnerForce
PhoenixPoloson
ClockwerkImmersion
MuertaBoBoKa
Skywrath MageNARMAN
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2