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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 17 games
71%
Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 16 games
44%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 16 games
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
re1bl · 15 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hellscream · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 14 games
43%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 14 games
71%

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 24 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 24 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 23 games
52%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fly · 21 game
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 21 game
71%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Copy · 20 games
65%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Lelis · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 455 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 233 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
322 picks · 275 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 426 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
306 picks · 553 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
257 picks · 224 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% nouns
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:19
HULIGANI 41%nouns 59%
The model gave 59% on nouns — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 38:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainMirage
53% · 103 games59% · 95 games
Monkey KingYuma
Monkey King
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendv1olent-
49% · 125 games53% · 75 games
Sand KingCopy
Sand King
Magnus
MagnusAlberkaaa
53% · 123 games47% · 179 games
Primal BeastGunnar
Primal Beast
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
49% · 267 games53% · 185 games
HoodwinkLelis
Hoodwink
Pugna
PugnaOneJey
41% · 120 games43% · 204 games
PhoenixFly
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed29:31
HULIGANI 42%nouns 58%
The model gave 58% on nouns — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 46:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunav1olent-
55% · 217 games47% · 216 games
MorphlingYuma
Morphling
Broodmother
BroodmotherAlberkaaa
50% · 71 game45% · 165 games
DoomGunnar
Doom
Sand King
Sand KingMirage
53% · 113 games45% · 66 games
Earth SpiritCopy
Earth Spirit
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeOneJey
55% · 118 games45% · 135 games
SnapfireLelis
Snapfire
Pugna
PugnaPanto
56% · 79 games48% · 16 games
Ogre MagiFly
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 66%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2