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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MOUZloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 22 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 20 games
60%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
47%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 14 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 12 games
67%

MOUZ

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
bengan · 40 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 31 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 31 game
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Force · 30 games
63%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 28 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NARMAN · 27 games
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
NARMAN · 23 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Force · 23 games
30%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
337 picks · 454 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 233 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
318 picks · 271 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
308 picks · 421 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
303 picks · 548 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
258 picks · 224 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:8
BETBOOM TEAM 69%MOUZ 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendPure~
55% · 100 games45% · 65 games
BristlebackUlnit
Bristleback
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
57% · 30 games51% · 101 game
BeastmasterForce
Beastmaster
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
51% · 98 games54% · 167 games
TinySupream^
Tiny
Muerta
MuertaSave-
51% · 98 games60% · 11 games
LichImmersion
Lich
Tusk
TuskKataomi
49% · 212 games41% · 194 games
PhoenixNARMAN
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct30:16
BETBOOM TEAM 70%MOUZ 30%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaPure~
52% · 279 games51% · 314 games
PangolierSupream^
Pangolier
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageMieRo
50% · 40 games47% · 130 games
MedusaUlnit
Medusa
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
48% · 148 games54% · 96 games
EnigmaForce
Enigma
Enchantress
EnchantressKataomi
47% · 265 games46% · 183 games
SnapfireImmersion
Snapfire
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
47% · 244 games58% · 253 games
ClockwerkNARMAN
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 83%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2