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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 25 games
60%
Mars
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
75%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Topson · 23 games
65%
Rubick
Rubick
9Class · 21 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
50%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Pure~ · 17 games
53%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 17 games
53%

Talon Esports

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Ponyo · 16 games
56%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Ws · 13 games
77%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Jhocam · 11 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Kuku · 10 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 10 games
40%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Akashi · 10 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Jhocam · 9 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Ponyo · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
336 picks · 454 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 233 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
316 picks · 271 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
307 picks · 420 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
302 picks · 547 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
258 picks · 224 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:15
Tundra Esports 63%Talon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 40:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
51% · 225 games56% · 217 games
LunaAkashi
Luna
Broodmother
Broodmother33
45% · 63 games54% · 146 games
Ember SpiritMikoto
Ember Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLorenof
56% · 200 games52% · 82 games
Sand KingFbz
Sand King
Muerta
MuertaSaksa
40% · 88 games49% · 152 games
SnapfireJhocam
Snapfire
Tusk
TuskWhitemon
47% · 224 games49% · 203 games
ClockwerkKuku
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct40:25
Tundra Esports 63%Talon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 46:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
43% · 80 games50% · 108 games
Earth SpiritMikoto
Earth Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLorenof
59% · 124 games51% · 134 games
Shadow FiendAkashi
Shadow Fiend
Pangolier
Pangolier33
47% · 264 games55% · 143 games
EnigmaFbz
Enigma
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSaksa
46% · 201 game54% · 166 games
MarciJhocam
Marci
Enchantress
EnchantressWhitemon
42% · 213 games52% · 331 game
Crystal MaidenKuku
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 72%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2