?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Panto · 16 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 16 games
44%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 16 games
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
re1bl · 15 games
53%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Hellscream · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 14 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 14 games
71%

Gaimin Gladiators

Underlord
Underlordsignature
Ace · 21 game
62%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Quinn · 20 games
60%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 18 games
72%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 17 games
59%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 16 games
69%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
tOfu · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
335 picks · 453 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 233 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
315 picks · 270 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
307 picks · 418 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
301 picks · 546 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 388 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
258 picks · 224 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:22
HULIGANI 29%Gaimin Gladiators 71%
The model gave 71% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingv1olent-
49% · 130 games48% · 102 games
Shadow FiendWatson
Shadow Fiend
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMirage
42% · 67 games47% · 164 games
InvokerQuinn
Invoker
Sand King
Sand KingAlberkaaa
51% · 90 games50% · 56 games
BroodmotherAce
Broodmother
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPanto
46% · 152 games55% · 129 games
MiranatOfu
Mirana
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeOneJey
51% · 78 games59% · 66 games
OmniknightSeleri
Omniknight
Game 2prediction correct18:23
HULIGANI 30%Gaimin Gladiators 70%
The model gave 70% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinv1olent-
49% · 147 games46% · 213 games
MorphlingWatson
Morphling
Pangolier
PangolierMirage
51% · 417 games49% · 115 games
InvokerQuinn
Invoker
Dazzle
DazzleAlberkaaa
53% · 34 games52% · 253 games
Primal BeastAce
Primal Beast
Enchantress
EnchantressPanto
48% · 275 games54% · 126 games
ChenSeleri
Chen
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinOneJey
56% · 43 games46% · 209 games
GyrocoptertOfu
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 84%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2