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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
nounsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Aurora Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 11 games
45%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Jabz · 11 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Oli · 8 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Q · 8 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Q · 7 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 7 games
71%

nouns

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 24 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 24 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Fly · 21 game
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 21 game
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 21 game
71%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Yuma · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Fly · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
337 picks · 451 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 237 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
311 picks · 266 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
303 picks · 414 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
301 picks · 545 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 389 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
261 picks · 225 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:12
Aurora Gaming 46%nouns 54%
The model gave 54% on nouns — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 30:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritTA2000
44% · 106 games51% · 201 game
LunaYuma
Luna
Puck
PuckAbed
54% · 338 games48% · 163 games
TimbersawCopy
Timbersaw
Bristleback
BristlebackJabz
52% · 126 games49% · 254 games
PangolierGunnar
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonQ
56% · 323 games45% · 116 games
SnapfireLelis
Snapfire
Lich
LichKaori
51% · 35 games48% · 194 games
TuskFly
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed25:28
Aurora Gaming 46%nouns 54%
The model gave 54% on nouns — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 52:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTA2000
55% · 126 games49% · 125 games
Monkey KingCopy
Monkey King
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAbed
50% · 98 games42% · 19 games
Drow RangerYuma
Drow Ranger
Enigma
EnigmaJabz
57% · 74 games41% · 158 games
BeastmasterGunnar
Beastmaster
Clockwerk
ClockwerkQ
53% · 173 games48% · 185 games
TuskLelis
Tusk
Io
IoKaori
54% · 34 games50% · 18 games
LichFly
Lich
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 56%
Series resultAurora Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2