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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Mars
Marssignature
RAMZES666 · 24 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 23 games
61%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Topson · 23 games
65%
Rubick
Rubick
9Class · 21 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
50%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Pure~ · 17 games
53%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 17 games
53%

Yakult Brothers

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 9 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 7 games
43%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 6 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
BoBoKa · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 5 games
60%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
60%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
flyfly · 5 games
80%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
BoBoKa · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
337 picks · 451 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 237 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
311 picks · 266 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
303 picks · 414 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
301 picks · 545 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
287 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 389 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
261 picks · 225 bans
43%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:43
Tundra Esports 54%Yakult Brothers 46%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 43:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendNightfall
52% · 102 games51% · 97 games
Troll Warlordflyfly
Troll Warlord
Void Spirit
Void SpiritLorenof
43% · 110 games47% · 104 games
InvokerEmo
Invoker
Dark Seer
Dark Seer33
55% · 152 games46% · 236 games
Pangolierzeal
Pangolier
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSaksa
57% · 22 games50% · 52 games
MuertaBoBoKa
Muerta
Clockwerk
ClockwerkWhitemon
58% · 235 games45% · 132 games
TuskPoloson
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct26:16
Tundra Esports 54%Yakult Brothers 46%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 47:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLorenof
59% · 187 games56% · 31 game
ViperEmo
Viper
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerNightfall
51% · 63 games50% · 246 games
Morphlingflyfly
Morphling
Beastmaster
Beastmaster33
47% · 158 games45% · 365 games
Pangolierzeal
Pangolier
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenWhitemon
54% · 293 games45% · 264 games
EnchantressPoloson
Enchantress
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSaksa
53% · 266 games44% · 61 game
Nyx AssassinBoBoKa
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2