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CCT Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Palianytsialoss 1:2
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bushidowin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Palianytsia

Leshrac
Leshracsignature
QBFY · 8 games
88%
Luna
Lunasignature
Crystallize · 8 games
88%
Snapfire
Snapfire
QBFY · 8 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
fortniteMan · 7 games
57%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Moonlight · 7 games
71%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
QBFY · 6 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
kreker · 6 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
kreker · 5 games
60%

Bushido

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Covisnine · 5 games
40%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
jAMES · 4 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 2 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 2 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
4IVAN · 2 games
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
jAMES · 2 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
349 picks · 297 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
335 picks · 438 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
329 picks · 253 bans
45%
Enchantress
Enchantress
319 picks · 541 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
298 picks · 283 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
295 picks · 412 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
294 picks · 797 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
293 picks · 472 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% Palianytsia
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total81% Palianytsia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Palianytsia 81%Bushido 19%
The model gave 81% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Palianytsia.
Game 2prediction missed
Palianytsia 81%Bushido 19%
The model gave 81% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Bushido.
Game 3prediction missed
Palianytsia 81%Bushido 19%
The model gave 81% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Bushido.
Model check result
Model favoritePalianytsia · 81%
Series resultBushido 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3