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CCT Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 1:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Level UPloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 13 games
38%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 12 games
25%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 12 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 10 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Batyuk · 9 games
22%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
yowaai · 9 games
44%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Fernans · 9 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 8 games
13%

Level UP

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
SsaSpartan · 6 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
17%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 5 games
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
20%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
348 picks · 296 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
335 picks · 437 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
329 picks · 253 bans
45%
Enchantress
Enchantress
319 picks · 541 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
298 picks · 283 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
295 picks · 412 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
294 picks · 797 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
293 picks · 472 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Passion UA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 65%Level UP 35%
The model gave 65% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 65%
Series resultPassion UA 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1