PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
nounswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
nouns
Crystal Maiden
Fly · 23 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Lelis · 23 games
Miranasignature
Lelis · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Copy · 19 games
Windrangeroften banned
Yuma · 19 games
Clockwerksignature
Lelis · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Gunnar · 18 games
Enchantressoften banned
Fly · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
347 picks · 295 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 436 bans
Jakiro
330 picks · 253 bans
Enchantress
316 picks · 538 bans
Rubick
299 picks · 286 bans
Windranger
296 picks · 415 bans
Dragon Knight
294 picks · 472 bans
Sand King
294 picks · 796 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:13
Invictus Gaming 30%nouns 70%
The model gave 70% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 40:58.
Game 2prediction correct9:29
Invictus Gaming 30%nouns 70%
The model gave 70% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 33:07.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 70%
Series resultnouns 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2