PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
beastcoastwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Azure Ray
Clockwerk
Fantasy · 21 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
fy · 14 games
Batrideroften banned
Fantasy · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
lou · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ori · 12 games
Snapfire
fy · 12 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
347 picks · 295 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 435 bans
Jakiro
330 picks · 253 bans
Enchantress
315 picks · 537 bans
Rubick
299 picks · 286 bans
Windranger
296 picks · 415 bans
Sand King
294 picks · 796 bans
Dragon Knight
293 picks · 472 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 34%
Hero pool strength53% beastcoast
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:39
Azure Ray 66%beastcoast 34%
The model gave 66% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by beastcoast in 48:48.
Game 2prediction missed26:34
Azure Ray 66%beastcoast 34%
The model gave 66% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by beastcoast in 54:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 66%
Series resultbeastcoast 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2