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PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Looking for Orgloss 1:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Looking for Org

Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 12 games
58%
Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 11 games
36%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 10 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 9 games
44%
Luna
Lunasignature
Mnz · 8 games
63%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Yadomi · 7 games
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Matthew · 7 games
57%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 6 games
50%

Infinity Esports

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Kiri · 8 games
50%
Techies
Techies
Hyko · 7 games
43%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 6 games
67%
Marci
Marcisignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
33%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
kendallx · 5 games
40%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Genek · 5 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Gardick · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
343 picks · 290 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
334 picks · 253 bans
45%
Pangolier
Pangolier
328 picks · 434 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
314 picks · 524 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
302 picks · 292 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
298 picks · 424 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
295 picks · 473 bans
45%
Sand King
Sand King
289 picks · 793 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% Looking for Org
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:25
Looking for Org 58%Infinity Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 1:00:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMnz
47% · 160 games46% · 160 games
MedusaCostabile
Medusa
Timbersaw
TimbersawDarkMago
51% · 128 games54% · 395 games
Centaur WarrunnerILICH-
Centaur Warrunner
Doom
DoomSacred
45% · 182 games59% · 85 games
EarthshakerPiPi
Earthshaker
Naga Siren
Naga SirenYadomi
53% · 80 games56% · 92 games
OmniknightPanda
Omniknight
Rubick
RubickMatthew
37% · 182 games
Game 2prediction missed21:21
Looking for Org 59%Infinity Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 38:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMnz
54% · 49 games41% · 200 games
MorphlingCostabile
Morphling
Timbersaw
TimbersawSacred
44% · 169 games50% · 112 games
BeastmasterILICH-
Beastmaster
Mars
MarsDarkMago
43% · 180 games49% · 207 games
Primal BeastPiPi
Primal Beast
Mirana
MiranaMatthew
50% · 118 games65% · 90 games
DisruptorPanda
Disruptor
Naga Siren
Naga SirenYadomi
58% · 93 games
Game 3prediction missed35:29
Looking for Org 56%Infinity Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 55:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterMnz
54% · 133 games46% · 235 games
LunaCostabile
Luna
Earthshaker
EarthshakerDarkMago
58% · 36 games39% · 58 games
VisageILICH-
Visage
Doom
DoomSacred
45% · 91 game51% · 56 games
Earth SpiritPiPi
Earth Spirit
Naga Siren
Naga SirenYadomi
52% · 82 games59% · 115 games
DisruptorPanda
Disruptor
Hoodwink
HoodwinkMatthew
49% · 122 games
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 61%
Series resultInfinity Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3