DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWWINTRADERsloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LFLooking for Orgwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
WINTRADERs
Clockwerk
Mjz · 2 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Magnus
kendallx · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Genek · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Alone · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Batrideroften banned
Genek · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
kendallx · 1 game
Looking for Org
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 9 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 8 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 7 games
Omniknightoften banned
Yadomi · 7 games
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 6 games
Lunasignature
Mnz · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Matthew · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 257 bans
Snapfire
343 picks · 280 bans
Pangolier
332 picks · 444 bans
Hoodwink
316 picks · 360 bans
Rubick
313 picks · 307 bans
Windranger
308 picks · 437 bans
Enchantress
301 picks · 520 bans
Dragon Knight
299 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 60%
Hero pool strength57% WINTRADERs
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:22
WINTRADERs 36%Looking for Org 64%
The model gave 64% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 37:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetDaaD-
LunaMnz
TimbersawAlone
BatriderDarkMago
Primal Beastkendallx
Centaur WarrunnerSacred
PhoenixMjz
Treant ProtectorYadomi
TuskGenek
SnapfireMatthew
Game 2prediction correct3:34
WINTRADERs 34%Looking for Org 66%
The model gave 66% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 22:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightDaaD-
BristlebackMnz
EarthshakerAlone
Storm SpiritDarkMago
Visagekendallx
EnigmaSacred
Dark WillowGenek
SnapfireMatthew
ClockwerkMjz
TuskYadomi
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 76%
Series resultLooking for Org 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2