DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBBandaNoonewin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BandaNoone
No games played over 6 months.
Virtus.pro
Tinysignature
Kiritych · 14 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Kiritych · 13 games
Rubick
Antares · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Fng · 11 games
Batrideroften banned
Antares · 10 games
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 10 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 9 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Fng · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
350 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 276 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 453 bans
Rubick
320 picks · 311 bans
Hoodwink
316 picks · 366 bans
Windranger
304 picks · 425 bans
Dragon Knight
297 picks · 469 bans
Enchantress
296 picks · 514 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)80% vs 35%
Hero pool strength50% BandaNoone
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% BandaNoone
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BandaNoone 79%Virtus.pro 21%
The model gave 79% on BandaNoone — the game was taken by BandaNoone.
Game 2prediction correct
BandaNoone 79%Virtus.pro 21%
The model gave 79% on BandaNoone — the game was taken by BandaNoone.
Model check result
Model favoriteBandaNoone · 79%
Series resultBandaNoone 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2