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DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:1
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Night Pulseloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Rubick
Rubick
Panto · 19 games
42%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 18 games
33%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 17 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 15 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 14 games
79%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
v1olent- · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Panto · 13 games
46%

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 24 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 22 games
50%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 20 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 18 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 18 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 16 games
69%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Hduo · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
336 picks · 276 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 452 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
321 picks · 310 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
316 picks · 366 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 420 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
298 picks · 467 bans
47%
Enchantress
Enchantress
294 picks · 512 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% Night Pulse
Head-to-head7 – 2
Model total69% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
HULIGANI 69%Night Pulse 31%
The model gave 69% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Game 2prediction correct
HULIGANI 69%Night Pulse 31%
The model gave 69% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Game 3prediction correct
HULIGANI 69%Night Pulse 31%
The model gave 69% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 69%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3