DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
RCHwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TJTeam Jiulinloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
RCH
No games played over 6 months.
Team Jiulin
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 275 bans
Pangolier
327 picks · 455 bans
Rubick
327 picks · 311 bans
Hoodwink
321 picks · 370 bans
Windranger
302 picks · 414 bans
Dragon Knight
297 picks · 463 bans
Enchantress
290 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% RCH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Jiulin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
RCH 48%Team Jiulin 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Jiulin — the game was taken by RCH.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Jiulin · 52%
Series resultRCH 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1