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DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ascent Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Evil Rabbitwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ascent Esports

No games played over 6 months.

Evil Rabbit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Irving · 6 games
17%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
60%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 5 games
40%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
40%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
45%
Rubick
Rubick
328 picks · 311 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
328 picks · 274 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 455 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
321 picks · 371 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
300 picks · 411 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
296 picks · 460 bans
47%
Enchantress
Enchantress
290 picks · 498 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% Ascent Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Evil Rabbit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ascent Esports 28%Evil Rabbit 72%
The model gave 72% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit.
Game 2prediction correct
Ascent Esports 28%Evil Rabbit 72%
The model gave 72% on Evil Rabbit — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit.
Model check result
Model favoriteEvil Rabbit · 72%
Series resultEvil Rabbit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2