DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionWWINTRADERsloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
beastcoastwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
WINTRADERs
Magnus
kendallx · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Alone · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
kendallx · 1 game
Clockwerk
Mjz · 1 game
Dark Willow
Genek · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Mirana
Genek · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Genek · 1 game
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
327 picks · 311 bans
Snapfire
327 picks · 273 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 455 bans
Hoodwink
321 picks · 371 bans
Windranger
299 picks · 411 bans
Dragon Knight
296 picks · 460 bans
Enchantress
289 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 31%
Hero pool strength55% WINTRADERs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
WINTRADERs 32%beastcoast 68%
The model gave 68% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast.
Game 2prediction correct
WINTRADERs 32%beastcoast 68%
The model gave 68% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 68%
Series resultbeastcoast 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2