DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgloss 1:2
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:2
WWINTRADERswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 9 games
Snapfire
Matthew · 7 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Parker · 6 games
Lunasignature
Mnz · 6 games
Omniknightsignature
Yadomi · 6 games
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
DarkMago · 4 games
Night Stalker
Sacred · 4 games
WINTRADERs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
327 picks · 311 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 452 bans
Hoodwink
321 picks · 371 bans
Windranger
297 picks · 410 bans
Dragon Knight
294 picks · 459 bans
Enchantress
288 picks · 497 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:4
Looking for Org 72%WINTRADERs 28%
The model gave 72% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 26:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendMnz
MuertaDaaD-
BristlebackSacred
PuckAlone
Dragon KnightDarkMago
Centaur Warrunnerkendallx
Shadow DemonMatthew
MiranaGenek
TuskYadomi
Naga SirenMjz
Game 2prediction missed26:37
Looking for Org 71%WINTRADERs 29%
The model gave 71% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by WINTRADERs in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperDarkMago
Void SpiritDaaD-
DawnbreakerSacred
Shadow FiendAlone
WindrangerMnz
Magnuskendallx
OmniknightYadomi
Monkey KingGenek
TuskMatthew
Treant ProtectorMjz
Game 3prediction missed22:24
Looking for Org 71%WINTRADERs 29%
The model gave 71% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by WINTRADERs in 37:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterMnz
LunaDaaD-
DoomSacred
Shadow FiendAlone
KunkkaDarkMago
Magnuskendallx
SnapfireMatthew
Dark WillowGenek
MarciYadomi
ClockwerkMjz
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 86%
Series resultWINTRADERs 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3