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BLAST Slam VII · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
64%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 31 game
65%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 29 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
64%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 26 games
81%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 23 games
74%
Puck
Pucksignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
71%

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
80%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 8 games
75%
Axe
Axesignature
Wisper · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 6 games
83%
Kez
Kezsignature
TaiLung · 6 games
83%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
KJ · 6 games
67%
Windranger
Windranger
Thiolicor · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
KJ · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 384 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
504 picks · 278 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
500 picks · 584 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
476 picks · 396 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
415 picks · 578 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
353 picks · 956 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
339 picks · 284 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
338 picks · 886 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 71%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:35
BETBOOM TEAM 59%LGD Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 38:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Largo
LargoMieRo
50% · 75 games49% · 56 games
Drow RangerYuma
Drow Ranger
Kez
KezKiritych
50% · 107 games54% · 316 games
BatriderWisper
Batrider
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
49% · 196 games46% · 147 games
ViperTaiLung
Viper
Lich
LichKataomi
47% · 41 game49% · 56 games
Spirit BreakerThiolicor
Spirit Breaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
53% · 220 games51% · 64 games
Winter WyvernKJ
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct34:24
BETBOOM TEAM 57%LGD Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 58:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerKiritych
57% · 21 game49% · 108 games
KezYuma
Kez
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
48% · 54 games41% · 51 game
Dark SeerWisper
Dark Seer
Slardar
SlardargpK~
51% · 154 games48% · 85 games
ViperTaiLung
Viper
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
55% · 143 games57% · 97 games
Nature's ProphetKJ
Nature's Prophet
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
41% · 22 games45% · 53 games
Spirit BreakerThiolicor
Spirit Breaker
Game 3prediction missed20:28
BETBOOM TEAM 56%LGD Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 58:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
47% · 199 games48% · 181 game
TimbersawWisper
Timbersaw
Largo
LargoMieRo
53% · 169 games50% · 284 games
PuckTaiLung
Puck
Slardar
SlardargpK~
51% · 340 games45% · 137 games
KezYuma
Kez
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
53% · 158 games51% · 254 games
Shadow DemonThiolicor
Shadow Demon
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorKataomi
62% · 139 games41% · 149 games
ClockwerkKJ
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 62%
Series resultLGD Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3