DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBBandaNoonewin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BandaNoone
No games played over 6 months.
HULIGANI
Rubick
OneJey · 20 games
Dark Willow
OneJey · 18 games
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 16 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 15 games
Morphlingsignature
v1olent- · 15 games
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 15 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 14 games
Clockwerk
Panto · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
323 picks · 309 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 452 bans
Hoodwink
319 picks · 371 bans
Snapfire
319 picks · 269 bans
Dragon Knight
292 picks · 455 bans
Windranger
289 picks · 403 bans
Enchantress
282 picks · 491 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 72%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% BandaNoone
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:24
BandaNoone 67%HULIGANI 33%
The model gave 67% on BandaNoone — the game was taken by BandaNoone in 47:39.
Game 2prediction correct36:22
BandaNoone 67%HULIGANI 33%
The model gave 67% on BandaNoone — the game was taken by BandaNoone in 40:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteBandaNoone · 67%
Series resultBandaNoone 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2