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DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Free Stackloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Legacywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Free Stack

No games played over 6 months.

Legacy

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Lumière · 2 games
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Hyko · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnus
FCR · 2 games
100%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Hyko · 2 games
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
FCR · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hyko · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Gardick · 1 game
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lumière · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
45%
Rubick
Rubick
323 picks · 309 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 452 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
319 picks · 371 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
319 picks · 269 bans
54%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
292 picks · 455 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
289 picks · 403 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
282 picks · 491 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength58% Legacy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Legacy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:33
Free Stack 43%Legacy 57%
The model gave 57% on Legacy — the game was taken by Legacy in 29:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerArgius
50% · 170 games48% · 126 games
TimbersawFCR
Timbersaw
Magnus
MagnusAdrx
60% · 91 game49% · 113 games
LunaLumière
Luna
Dark Willow
Dark WillowPamplona
52% · 137 games44% · 95 games
SnapfireHyko
Snapfire
42% · 64 games
Treant ProtectorGardick
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction correct16:24
Free Stack 42%Legacy 58%
The model gave 58% on Legacy — the game was taken by Legacy in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaArgius
47% · 135 games51% · 87 games
TerrorbladeLumière
Terrorblade
Alchemist
AlchemistAdrx
54% · 83 games39% · 62 games
SniperHyko
Sniper
Snapfire
SnapfirePamplona
45% · 77 games55% · 64 games
MagnusFCR
Magnus
59% · 82 games
Naga SirenGardick
Naga Siren
Model check result
Model favoriteLegacy · 62%
Series resultLegacy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2