DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
drago kingswin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RCHloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
drago kings
No games played over 6 months.
RCH
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
328 picks · 453 bans
Rubick
325 picks · 314 bans
Hoodwink
321 picks · 374 bans
Snapfire
316 picks · 268 bans
Windranger
290 picks · 403 bans
Dragon Knight
289 picks · 454 bans
Enchantress
283 picks · 487 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% drago kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% RCH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
drago kings 47%RCH 53%
The model gave 53% on RCH — the game was taken by drago kings.
Game 2prediction missed
drago kings 47%RCH 53%
The model gave 53% on RCH — the game was taken by drago kings.
Model check result
Model favoriteRCH · 53%
Series resultdrago kings 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2