DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spiky Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Spiky Gaming
Clockwerk
Hara · 6 games
Dark Willow
Hara · 6 games
Weaveroften banned
Manic · 6 games
Enchantressoften banned
TK · 5 games
Doomoften banned
Manic · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Xwy · 3 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Manic · 3 games
Muerta
Manic · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
328 picks · 316 bans
Pangolier
326 picks · 454 bans
Hoodwink
323 picks · 376 bans
Snapfire
317 picks · 268 bans
Dragon Knight
291 picks · 451 bans
Windranger
288 picks · 403 bans
Enchantress
286 picks · 484 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed53:43
Invictus Gaming 81%Spiky Gaming 19%
The model gave 81% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 1:22:18.
Game 2prediction missed38:20
Invictus Gaming 81%Spiky Gaming 19%
The model gave 81% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Spiky Gaming in 42:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 81%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2