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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 17 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 17 games
41%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 15 games
60%
Doom
Doomsignature
SSS · 12 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Rein · 12 games
33%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
WoE · 12 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 11 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 11 games
73%

HULIGANI

Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 22 games
41%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 20 games
35%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 17 games
76%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 16 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
OneJey · 15 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
re1bl · 14 games
43%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
336 picks · 324 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
332 picks · 382 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
327 picks · 470 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
313 picks · 263 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
290 picks · 447 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
288 picks · 300 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 477 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 69%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total64% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:34
One Move 42%HULIGANI 58%
The model gave 58% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 36:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritWoE
47% · 208 games49% · 241 game
Morphlingv1olent-
Morphling
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSSS
52% · 364 games52% · 252 games
PuckMirage
Puck
Sniper
SniperDifference
52% · 129 games46% · 248 games
DoomAlberkaaa
Doom
Rubick
Rubicknot me
47% · 345 games53% · 157 games
SnapfireOneJey
Snapfire
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorRein
53% · 126 games49% · 274 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct16:30
One Move 42%HULIGANI 58%
The model gave 58% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 33:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightWoE
44% · 150 games51% · 47 games
Bristlebackv1olent-
Bristleback
Mars
MarsSSS
53% · 114 games53% · 229 games
PuckMirage
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDifference
45% · 90 games56% · 84 games
UnderlordAlberkaaa
Underlord
Mirana
Mirananot me
46% · 98 games60% · 80 games
OmniknightPanto
Omniknight
Tusk
TuskRein
45% · 167 games46% · 179 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 64%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2