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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 3:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Azure Rayloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Azure Ray

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
fy · 17 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
fy · 16 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 13 games
54%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 13 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 13 games
62%
Sven
Svenoften banned
lou · 12 games
42%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 11 games
45%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
lou · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
336 picks · 324 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
331 picks · 382 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 468 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
313 picks · 262 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 447 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
288 picks · 300 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
284 picks · 475 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Azure Ray
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:14
Invictus Gaming 39%Azure Ray 61%
The model gave 61% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 32:18.
Game 2prediction correct13:28
Invictus Gaming 39%Azure Ray 61%
The model gave 61% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 36:39.
Game 3prediction correct25:31
Invictus Gaming 39%Azure Ray 61%
The model gave 61% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 42:29.
Game 4prediction correct9:26
Invictus Gaming 39%Azure Ray 61%
The model gave 61% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 23:16.
Game 5prediction correct21:25
Invictus Gaming 39%Azure Ray 61%
The model gave 61% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 53:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 61%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game5 of 5