DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBBruv123win 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TETeam Egoistloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Bruv123
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Bob · 7 games
Chenoften banned
Se · 6 games
Pangoliersignature
Bob · 6 games
Doomoften banned
seimei · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 5 games
Batrideroften banned
Se · 4 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
seimei · 4 games
Team Egoist
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
341 picks · 329 bans
Hoodwink
335 picks · 382 bans
Pangolier
329 picks · 472 bans
Snapfire
313 picks · 265 bans
Dragon Knight
290 picks · 445 bans
Sven
289 picks · 300 bans
Enchantress
286 picks · 475 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Bruv123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Bruv123
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Bruv123 81%Team Egoist 19%
The model gave 81% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123.
Game 2prediction correct
Bruv123 81%Team Egoist 19%
The model gave 81% on Bruv123 — the game was taken by Bruv123.
Model check result
Model favoriteBruv123 · 81%
Series resultBruv123 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2