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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
One Moveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 32 games
63%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 30 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 24 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
RESPECT · 24 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
swedenstrong · 24 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 22 games
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
RESPECT · 21 game
71%

One Move

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 17 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 16 games
44%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 15 games
60%
Doom
Doomsignature
SSS · 12 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Rein · 12 games
33%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
WoE · 12 games
58%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 11 games
73%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ainkrad · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
343 picks · 331 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
337 picks · 387 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
330 picks · 483 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
310 picks · 266 bans
54%
Sven
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
286 picks · 446 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 474 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% 1w Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total78% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:7
1w Team 67%One Move 33%
The model gave 67% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 26:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCloud
41% · 156 games52% · 96 games
AlchemistWoE
Alchemist
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMunkushi~
50% · 327 games54% · 183 games
PuckDifference
Puck
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
46% · 114 games54% · 296 games
Centaur WarrunnerSSS
Centaur Warrunner
Dark Willow
Dark Willowswedenstrong
48% · 211 games52% · 134 games
Mirananot me
Mirana
Naga Siren
Naga SirenRESPECT
53% · 141 game50% · 240 games
BatriderRein
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct31:32
1w Team 67%One Move 33%
The model gave 67% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 58:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMunkushi~
52% · 245 games48% · 225 games
Dragon KnightWoE
Dragon Knight
Mars
MarsCloud
52% · 229 games44% · 52 games
Queen of PainDifference
Queen of Pain
Viper
ViperChira JUNIOR
55% · 62 games44% · 143 games
Mirananot me
Mirana
Sniper
Sniperswedenstrong
52% · 99 games45% · 216 games
PangolierSSS
Pangolier
Omniknight
OmniknightRESPECT
60% · 59 games48% · 58 games
Treant ProtectorRein
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 78%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2