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DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Neutralcamploss 0:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Palianytsiawin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neutralcamp

Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Panda · 2 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
krol9ash · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Delight · 1 game
0%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Delight · 1 game
100%
Visage
Visageoften banned
krol9ash · 1 game
100%

Palianytsia

Snapfire
Snapfire
QBFY · 7 games
57%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 4 games
75%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
kreker · 4 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Moonlight · 3 games
33%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
VladikTheHtiviy · 3 games
100%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
kreker · 3 games
100%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
QBFY · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
343 picks · 331 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
337 picks · 387 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
330 picks · 483 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
310 picks · 266 bans
54%
Sven
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
286 picks · 446 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 474 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% Palianytsia
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% Palianytsia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Neutralcamp 44%Palianytsia 56%
The model gave 56% on Palianytsia — the game was taken by Palianytsia.
Model check result
Model favoritePalianytsia · 56%
Series resultPalianytsia 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1