BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
One Movewin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FBFive Beaversloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
One Move
Ember Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 17 games
Gyrocoptersignature
WoE · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
SSS · 15 games
Doomsignature
SSS · 12 games
Jakiro
Rein · 12 games
Windrangeroften banned
WoE · 12 games
Clockwerksignature
Rein · 11 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 10 games
Five Beavers
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
Windrangeroften banned
Otaker · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
PERDAN4IK · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Otaker · 1 game
Jakiro
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Marcioften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 331 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
327 picks · 487 bans
Snapfire
307 picks · 267 bans
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
Enchantress
286 picks · 470 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 448 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 62%
Hero pool strength55% Five Beavers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total67% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:3
One Move 58%Five Beavers 42%
The model gave 58% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 30:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWoE
Nature's ProphetOtaker
SniperDifference
Underlordмистер мораль
Centaur WarrunnerSSS
Naga SirenPERDAN4IK
OmniknightRein
Tusknot me
Game 2prediction correct36:11
One Move 60%Five Beavers 40%
The model gave 60% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 30:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaWoE
Lone DruidOtaker
PangolierSSS
Underlordмистер мораль
Sand KingDifference
Naga SirenPERDAN4IK
Snapfirenot me
Treant ProtectorRein
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 67%
Series resultOne Move 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2