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RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Bushidoloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 21 game
48%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 19 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 17 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 17 games
35%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 16 games
56%

Bushido

Mirana
Mirana
jAMES · 4 games
75%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 3 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Covisnine · 3 games
33%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 2 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 2 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
4IVAN · 2 games
100%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Covisnine · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
351 picks · 337 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
350 picks · 259 bans
46%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
346 picks · 401 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
327 picks · 496 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
297 picks · 264 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
292 picks · 305 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
284 picks · 394 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
283 picks · 456 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:11
Night Pulse 56%Bushido 44%
The model gave 56% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 25:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingV-Tune
51% · 150 games45% · 125 games
Linarostislav_999
Lina
Timbersaw
TimbersawKami
50% · 130 games50% · 219 games
KunkkaCovisnine
Kunkka
Earthshaker
EarthshakerWorick
48% · 54 games47% · 62 games
Earth SpiritDodren
Earth Spirit
Dark Willow
Dark WillowJANTER
53% · 118 games53% · 132 games
SnapfirejAMES
Snapfire
Naga Siren
Naga SirenHduo
53% · 86 games
Game 2prediction missed8:32
Night Pulse 58%Bushido 42%
The model gave 58% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Bushido in 31:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightV-Tune
52% · 180 games48% · 50 games
Broodmotherrostislav_999
Broodmother
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetKami
54% · 98 games48% · 204 games
KunkkaCovisnine
Kunkka
Puck
PuckWorick
59% · 153 games44% · 94 games
Void SpiritDodren
Void Spirit
Naga Siren
Naga SirenHduo
54% · 78 games44% · 226 games
HoodwinkjAMES
Hoodwink
Marci
MarciJANTER
53% · 65 games
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2