BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTNTeam N1ntendoloss 0:2
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team N1ntendo
No games played over 6 months.
HULIGANI
Rubick
OneJey · 22 games
Dark Willow
OneJey · 20 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 19 games
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 17 games
Batridersignature
Panto · 16 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
re1bl · 15 games
Leshracsignature
re1bl · 14 games
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
351 picks · 337 bans
Jakiro
350 picks · 259 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 401 bans
Pangolier
327 picks · 496 bans
Snapfire
297 picks · 264 bans
Sven
292 picks · 305 bans
Windranger
284 picks · 394 bans
Dragon Knight
283 picks · 456 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 66%
Hero pool strength52% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:27
Team N1ntendo 18%HULIGANI 82%
The model gave 82% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 18:55.
Game 2prediction correct14:35
Team N1ntendo 18%HULIGANI 82%
The model gave 82% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 28:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 82%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2