DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTMTeam Mantapswin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Mantaps
No games played over 6 months.
Myth Avenue Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
351 picks · 341 bans
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
Hoodwink
348 picks · 401 bans
Pangolier
326 picks · 497 bans
Snapfire
296 picks · 264 bans
Sven
291 picks · 305 bans
Windranger
281 picks · 388 bans
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 456 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Team Mantaps
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Team Mantaps 49%Myth Avenue Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Team Mantaps.
Game 2prediction missed
Team Mantaps 49%Myth Avenue Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Team Mantaps.
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 51%
Series resultTeam Mantaps 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2