?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Bruv123loss 1:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Kukuyswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Bruv123

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
423 · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Bob · 6 games
83%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Se · 5 games
60%
Doom
Doomoften banned
seimei · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 5 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Bob · 5 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Se · 4 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Palos · 3 games
33%

Kukuys

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
354 picks · 341 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
46%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
348 picks · 401 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 499 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 264 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
291 picks · 305 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
281 picks · 388 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
278 picks · 457 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 70%
Hero pool strength54% Bruv123
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Bruv123 36%Kukuys 64%
The model gave 64% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Bruv123.
Game 2prediction correct7:29
Bruv123 36%Kukuys 64%
The model gave 64% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 27:59.
Game 3prediction correct6:22
Bruv123 36%Kukuys 64%
The model gave 64% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 17:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 64%
Series resultKukuys 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3