DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1738loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Zone_Academywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1738
No games played over 6 months.
Zone_Academy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
357 picks · 344 bans
Hoodwink
354 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 508 bans
Sven
294 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
293 picks · 262 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 387 bans
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 1738
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Zone_Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
1738 49%Zone_Academy 51%
The model gave 51% on Zone_Academy — the game was taken by Zone_Academy.
Game 2prediction correct
1738 49%Zone_Academy 51%
The model gave 51% on Zone_Academy — the game was taken by Zone_Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteZone_Academy · 51%
Series resultZone_Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2