DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 1:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
FBFive Beaversloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Weaversignature
sayuw · 10 games
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 8 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 7 games
Undying
Solo · 7 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
DarkLord^ · 5 games
Windrangeroften banned
kiyotaka · 5 games
Five Beavers
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
PERDAN4IK · 2 games
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Otaker · 1 game
Jakiro
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Marcioften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Razoroften banned
Otaker · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
357 picks · 344 bans
Hoodwink
354 picks · 406 bans
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
324 picks · 508 bans
Sven
294 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
292 picks · 262 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 386 bans
Dragon Knight
275 picks · 458 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Five Beavers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
9Pandas 66%Five Beavers 34%
The model gave 66% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 66%
Series result9Pandas 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1