Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostikfacekid Clubloss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
VooDooSh Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostikfacekid Club
No games played over 6 months.
VooDooSh Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
611 picks · 381 bans
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
498 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 396 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 576 bans
Puck
355 picks · 951 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 885 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Rostikfacekid Club
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% Rostikfacekid Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rostikfacekid Club 58%VooDooSh Club 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostikfacekid Club — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Rostikfacekid Club 58%VooDooSh Club 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostikfacekid Club — the game was taken by Rostikfacekid Club.
Game 3prediction missed
Rostikfacekid Club 58%VooDooSh Club 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostikfacekid Club — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostikfacekid Club · 58%
Series resultVooDooSh Club 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3