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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
AVULUSwin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AVULUS

Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 12 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
ряф^^ · 12 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Smiling Knight · 12 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Smiling Knight · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Ekki · 9 games
89%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
SoNNeikO · 8 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
SoNNeikO · 7 games
71%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 7 games
71%

Level UP

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Stoic · 7 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 7 games
14%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
17%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
17%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
357 picks · 345 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
355 picks · 406 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 258 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 507 bans
49%
Sven
Sven
294 picks · 305 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
291 picks · 261 bans
53%
Windranger
Windranger
278 picks · 384 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 455 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 25%
Hero pool strength72% AVULUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% AVULUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:31
AVULUS 70%Level UP 30%
The model gave 70% on AVULUS — the game was taken by AVULUS in 44:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
53% · 172 games54% · 221 game
WindrangerLowskill
Windranger
Sniper
SniperStormstormer
53% · 103 games56% · 108 games
InvokerMaTson
Invoker
Pangolier
PangolierXibbe
52% · 385 games53% · 305 games
Centaur WarrunnerSkyLark
Centaur Warrunner
Elder Titan
Elder TitanSoNNeikO
47% · 114 games42% · 201 game
EnchantressSsaSpartan
Enchantress
Lion
LionEkki
43% · 207 games49% · 146 games
Miranaxsvampire
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct38:17
AVULUS 70%Level UP 30%
The model gave 70% on AVULUS — the game was taken by AVULUS in 31:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperStormstormer
49% · 63 games51% · 221 game
LunaLowskill
Luna
Bristleback
BristlebackSmiling Knight
48% · 50 games56% · 88 games
InvokerMaTson
Invoker
Kunkka
KunkkaXibbe
53% · 165 games54% · 189 games
Dark Willowxsvampire
Dark Willow
Batrider
BatriderEkki
46% · 201 game50% · 159 games
ClockwerkSsaSpartan
Clockwerk
Phoenix
PhoenixSoNNeikO
41% · 178 games
Model check result
Model favoriteAVULUS · 84%
Series resultAVULUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2