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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kukuyswin 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Execrationloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Kukuys

No games played over 6 months.

Execration

Marci
Marcisignature
Tino- · 14 games
64%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
cml · 13 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
cml · 13 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Tino- · 12 games
75%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Abat · 12 games
58%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Shanks · 12 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Abat · 10 games
60%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Abat · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
359 picks · 349 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
357 picks · 406 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 258 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
322 picks · 509 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 305 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
290 picks · 259 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
278 picks · 380 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
272 picks · 461 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 55%
Hero pool strength55% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Kukuys 52%Execration 48%
The model gave 52% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Execration.
Game 2prediction missed5:27
Kukuys 52%Execration 48%
The model gave 52% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Execration in 27:06.
Game 3prediction missed3:16
Kukuys 52%Execration 48%
The model gave 52% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Execration in 30:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 52%
Series resultKukuys 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3